>>11
Eh, Trump will win, but not because he's the incumbent. An uninspiring incumbent combined with a weak economy and a strong challenger can still be toppled, see Carter/HW Bush.

The problem is that Biden ain't Reagan or Clinton. Well, his kooky dad persona is a bit Clintonesque, but Clinton wasn't senile, wasn't openly racist, and sensibly waited until he actually became prez to start molesting women in the office.